UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Nov-09 18:15 CT

Price Action

• Last: 120'07,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -27%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Nov

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 124'13.25,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 119'31.25,
• 5. Levels R: 152'14.00, 151'78.125, 138'00.00, 137'93.750, 127'93.750, 123'29.500, 121'28.125,
• 6. Levels S: 111'84.375.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 118'90.313 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 119'43.75 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 123'80.525 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 136'98.875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 136'98.875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 196'00.00 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 07 Nov 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.96875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 06 Nov 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 121.15625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 04 Nov 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 121.125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in transition. Price action is currently consolidating near 120'07, with medium-sized bars and average momentum, suggesting neither strong buying nor selling pressure in the immediate term. The short-term WSFG trend remains down, with price below the NTZ center, but the swing pivot trend has shifted to an uptrend, indicating a possible short-term base forming. Intermediate-term signals are more constructive: both the MSFG and swing HiLo trends are up, and recent trade signals have favored the long side. The 5- and 10-week moving averages are trending higher, supporting the intermediate-term bullish bias. Long-term, the yearly fib grid and 20-week MA are up, but the 55-, 100-, and 200-week MAs remain in downtrends, reflecting the broader bearish structure from previous cycles. Key resistance levels are clustered well above current price, while support is established at 111'84.375. Overall, the market is showing early signs of a potential recovery, with intermediate-term strength emerging against a backdrop of long-term overhead resistance and a still-cautious short-term outlook. The environment is characterized by consolidation, possible basing, and the potential for trend continuation if intermediate-term momentum persists.