UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Nov-09 18:14 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.0576,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -27%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Nov

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 119.0576,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 122.9688,
• 5. Levels R: 124.3125, 122.9688, 121.6250, 120.6813, 119.6250,
• 6. Levels S: 119.0576, 118.6250, 118.0000, 117.4375, 114.9688, 114.0625, 113.4063, 111.6875.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 120.6813 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 121.6250 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 122.9688 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.6250 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.6250 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 121.116 Up Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 07 Nov 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.96875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 06 Nov 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 121.15625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 04 Nov 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 121.125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market in transition. Short-term momentum is slow and the price is trading below the weekly session fib grid, with a clear downtrend in the short-term swing pivot and both the 5-day and 10-day moving averages trending down. However, the intermediate and long-term outlooks are more constructive: the monthly and yearly session fib grids both show price above their respective NTZ centers, and the 20, 55, 100, and 200-day moving averages are either stabilizing or trending up. The most recent swing pivot has established a new low at 119.0576, with the next potential reversal at 122.9688, suggesting a possible inflection point if price can reclaim higher resistance levels. Recent trade signals reflect this mixed environment, with both long and short entries triggered in the past week. Volatility (ATR) remains moderate, and volume is steady. Overall, the market is experiencing a short-term pullback within a broader intermediate and long-term uptrend, with key support and resistance levels in play as traders watch for either a continuation of the pullback or a reversal back toward the highs.