UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Nov-07 07:19 CT

Price Action

• Last: 122.360625,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -28%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Nov

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 16%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 119.0625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 124.3125,
• 5. Levels R: 124.3125, 122.15625, 121.875,
• 6. Levels S: 119.0625, 118.625, 117.84375.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 120.67999 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 119.03328 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 122.36605 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.03328 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.03328 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.03328 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 06 Nov 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 121.15625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 06 Nov 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 121.15625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 04 Nov 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 121.125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 31 Oct 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 121.375 Signals.USAR.TR720

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart reflects a market in transition. Short-term price action is mixed, with the latest bars showing medium size and average momentum, and the WSFG (weekly) trend remaining down as price sits below the NTZ center. However, the intermediate-term (monthly) MSFG and long-term (yearly) YSFG both show price above their respective NTZ centers and in uptrends, suggesting a broader bullish bias. Swing pivots indicate a short-term downtrend but an intermediate-term uptrend, with the next key resistance at 124.3125 and support at 119.0625. Most daily benchmarks (moving averages) are trending up, except for the 200-day, which is still down, hinting at a possible lag in the major trend shift. Recent trade signals show a mix of short and long entries, reflecting the choppy, potentially consolidative nature of the current environment. Volatility (ATR) and volume (VOLMA) are moderate, supporting the view of a market in a corrective phase after a recent rally. Overall, the chart suggests a market pausing within a larger bullish context, with short-term indecision but intermediate and long-term upward momentum.