UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Nov-03 07:16 CT

Price Action

• Last: 121.21875,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -23%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Nov

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 18%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 9%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 124.31250,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 121.03125,
• 5. Levels R: 124.31250, 123.18750,
• 6. Levels S: 121.03125, 119.03125, 116.03125, 114.96875, 113.40625.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 122.20625 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 122.0311 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 121.71715 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.97688 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.17125 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.65688 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 03 Nov 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 121.21875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 31 Oct 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 121.375 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 29 Oct 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 122.46875 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart currently reflects a mixed but evolving landscape. Short-term momentum is slow and the price is trading below the weekly session fib grid, with a clear downtrend in the short-term swing pivot and both 5- and 10-day moving averages trending down. Recent trade signals have also been to the short side, confirming the short-term bearish bias. However, the intermediate- and long-term outlooks are more constructive: the monthly and yearly session fib grids show price above their respective NTZ centers, and both the 55- and 100-day moving averages are trending up, indicating underlying support and a potential for higher prices over a longer horizon. The most recent swing pivot is a high at 124.31250, with the next key support at 121.03125. Volatility (ATR) and volume (VOLMA) are moderate, suggesting a market in transition rather than in a high-volatility breakout or collapse. Overall, the market is experiencing a short-term pullback within a broader uptrend, with the potential for further downside in the near term before a possible resumption of the longer-term bullish trend.