UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Nov-02 18:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 121'11,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -7%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Nov

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 26%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 10%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 120'18,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 123'43'750,
• 5. Levels R: 124'31'250, 122'16, 121'28,
• 6. Levels S: 120'18, 119'03'125, 118'06'250, 116'28'500, 114'96'875, 113'40'625.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 121'16 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 122'23'4 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 122'16 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 120'69'13 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118'97'59 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118'71'49 Up Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 31 Oct 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 121.375 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 29 Oct 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 122.46875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 29 Oct 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 122.46875 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart reflects a market in transition. Short-term momentum is slow and the price is trading below the weekly session fib grid (WSFG) neutral zone, with a clear downtrend in the short-term swing pivot and both 5- and 10-day moving averages trending down. This is reinforced by recent short trade signals, indicating short-term bearish sentiment. However, the intermediate- and long-term outlooks remain constructive: the monthly and yearly session fib grids show price above their respective neutral zones, and both the 55-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages are in uptrends. The intermediate-term swing pivot trend is up, suggesting that the recent pullback may be a retracement within a broader bullish structure. Key support levels are clustered below, while resistance is overhead at recent swing highs. Volatility (ATR) is moderate, and volume is steady. The market appears to be consolidating after a strong rally, with the potential for further downside in the short term before a possible resumption of the longer-term uptrend.