UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Oct-30 07:16 CT

Price Action

• Last: 121'20,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -51%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 27%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 10%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 124'13.25,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 119'18.75,
• 5. Levels R: 152'16, 151'28.5, 138'00, 137'29.75, 127'29.75, 123'29.5,
• 6. Levels S: 118'14.5, 111'8.4375.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 121'12 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 121'20 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 123'29.5 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 127'29.75 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 137'29.75 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 152'16 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 29 Oct 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 122.46875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 29 Oct 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 122.46875 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in transition. Short-term momentum is average, with price action currently below the weekly session fib grid (WSFG) neutral zone, confirming a short-term downtrend. This is reinforced by recent short trade signals and a bearish WSFG trend. However, both the intermediate-term (monthly) and long-term (yearly) session fib grids show price above their respective neutral zones, with uptrends in place, suggesting a broader recovery attempt. Swing pivots indicate an uptrend in both short- and intermediate-term trends, with the most recent pivot high at 124'13.25 and next support at 119'18.75. Weekly benchmarks show short- and intermediate-term moving averages trending up, but longer-term averages (55, 100, 200 week) remain in downtrends, highlighting overhead resistance and the challenge for sustained rallies. The market is currently caught between a short-term pullback and a larger-scale recovery, with significant resistance levels overhead and key support at 118'14.5. This environment reflects a choppy, potentially volatile phase, with the potential for further consolidation or a test of lower support before any sustained breakout.