UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Oct-26 18:18 CT

Price Action

• Last: 122'14,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -19%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 46%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 13%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 124'13.25,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 121'15.88,
• 5. Levels R: 124'13.25, 122'00.00,
• 6. Levels S: 120'28.62, 119'03.12, 118'09.31, 114'96.87, 113'40.62.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 123'15.63 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 123'43.75 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 121'76.18 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118'80.93 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118'37.56 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118'09.31 Up Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 23 Oct 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 123.15625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 20 Oct 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 122.34375 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market in transition. Short-term price action is mixed, with recent momentum slowing and price sitting just above a key support pivot (121'15.88) after a pullback from the recent swing high (124'13.25). The short-term trend is neutral, as indicated by the downtrending 5- and 10-day moving averages and recent short trade signals, while the intermediate- and long-term trends remain bullish, supported by upward-sloping 20-, 55-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages. The price is currently above both the monthly and yearly session fib grid centers, suggesting underlying strength, but below the weekly grid, reflecting short-term weakness. Volatility is moderate, and volume is steady. The market is consolidating after a strong rally, with the potential for either a deeper retracement toward support or a resumption of the uptrend if buyers step in at these levels. Swing traders should note the key resistance at 124'13.25 and support at 121'15.88 and 120'28.62 as pivotal areas for the next directional move.