UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Oct-19 18:15 CT

Price Action

• Last: 122'16,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 45%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 13%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 122'16,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 120'74219,
• 5. Levels R: 123'16, 121'16, 119'03203, 118'62500,
• 6. Levels S: 120'74219, 119'96503, 118'63063, 117'97000, 116'98593, 114'96875, 113'40625, 111'84375.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 121'46875 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 121'01094 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119'96503 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118'63063 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 117'97000 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 121'01094 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 16 Oct 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 122.78125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures are currently exhibiting a strong bullish structure across most timeframes. Price action has shown a steady climb, with the most recent swing pivot marking a new high at 122'16, supported by a clear uptrend in both short-term and intermediate-term swing metrics. The weekly session fib grid (WSFG) remains in a short-term downtrend, but price has decisively moved above the monthly and yearly session fib grid centers, indicating intermediate and long-term strength. All key moving averages except the 200-day are trending upward, reinforcing the bullish bias, while the 200-day MA is still lagging and trending down, suggesting the longer-term trend is in transition. Volatility (ATR) and volume (VOLMA) are moderate, supporting the sustainability of the current move. The recent long trade signal aligns with the prevailing uptrend. Overall, the market is in a bullish phase, with higher lows and higher highs, and is likely in a trend continuation mode after a period of consolidation and breakout above key resistance levels.