ES E-mini S&P 500 Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Oct-17 07:06 CT

Price Action

• Last: 6648.75,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Momentum fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 13%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -19%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 53%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 6612.5,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 6733.25,
• 5. Levels R: 6812.25, 6768.75, 6700.00,
• 6. Levels S: 6540.25, 6420.50, 6419.50, 6015.75.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 6700.00 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 6733.25 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 6733.25 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 6477.00 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 6450.00 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 6185.95 Up Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 319,
• VOLMA: 1611996.

Recent Trade Signals

• 17 Oct 2025: Short ES 12-25 @ 6611.5 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 16 Oct 2025: Short ES 12-25 @ 6659.25 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 16 Oct 2025: Short ES 12-25 @ 6659.25 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 10 Oct 2025: Short ES 12-25 @ 6682.5 Signals.USAR.TR720

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The ES is experiencing a notable short-term and intermediate-term pullback, with price action showing large, fast-moving bars to the downside. Both the short-term and intermediate-term swing pivot trends have shifted to downtrends, confirmed by recent lower lows and a series of short trade signals. Price is currently below the monthly session fib grid (MSFG) NTZ, reinforcing the intermediate-term bearish bias, while the weekly grid remains supportive above its NTZ, suggesting some resilience on a shorter time frame. Benchmark moving averages for the 5, 10, and 20-day periods are all trending down, further supporting the short-term and intermediate-term bearish outlook. However, the 55, 100, and 200-day moving averages remain in uptrends, indicating that the longer-term structure is still bullish. Volatility is elevated (ATR 319), and volume remains robust, reflecting active participation during this corrective phase. Key support levels to watch are 6540.25 and 6420.50, while resistance is stacked above at 6700 and higher. The market is in a corrective phase within a broader uptrend, with the potential for further downside in the near term before any significant recovery or trend continuation.