UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Oct-16 07:18 CT

Price Action

• Last: 122.17,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 44%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 13%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 123.00,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 117.87,
• 5. Levels R: 152.40, 151.78, 138.00, 137.93, 127.93,
• 6. Levels S: 117.84, 111.84.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 120.67 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 121.71 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 123.89 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 128.96 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 138.65 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 152.40 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 14 Oct 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 122.40625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 10 Oct 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.84375 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a notable shift in momentum, with price action breaking above the NTZ center and all session Fib grid trends (weekly, monthly, yearly) now pointing up. Both short-term and intermediate-term swing pivot trends are in an uptrend, supported by recent long trade signals and rising 5- and 10-week moving averages. The 20-week MA is also trending up, reinforcing the bullish tone in the medium term. However, the longer-term 55-, 100-, and 200-week moving averages remain in a downtrend, indicating that the broader trend is still neutral to bearish and that the current rally is a countertrend move within a larger down cycle. Key resistance levels are clustered well above current price, while support is established at 117.84 and 111.84. The market is in a recovery phase, with higher lows and a potential for further upside if momentum persists, but faces significant overhead resistance from longer-term averages and prior swing highs. The environment is transitioning from consolidation to a possible trend continuation, with volatility likely to remain elevated as the market tests these key levels.