UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Oct-14 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 122'15,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 17%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 43%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 13%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 122'15,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 120'28.125,
• 5. Levels R: 122'15, 121'28.125, 121'16.25,
• 6. Levels S: 120'28.125, 119'21.75, 118'54.093, 117'62.813, 114'96.875, 113'40.625, 111'84.375.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 120'82.50 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 119'63.28 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 120'39.375 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118'54.093 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 117'62.813 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119'21.75 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 14 Oct 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 122.40625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 10 Oct 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.84375 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a strong upward momentum across both short-term and intermediate-term timeframes, with price action currently above all key session fib grid levels and most moving average benchmarks. The swing pivot structure confirms an uptrend, with the most recent pivot high aligning with the current price, and the next potential reversal level set at 120'28.125. Resistance is layered just above, while support is well-defined below, suggesting a healthy trend structure. Both the 5-day and 10-day moving averages are trending up, as are the 20-day and 55-day, reinforcing the bullish bias. However, the 100-day and 200-day moving averages remain in a downtrend, tempering the long-term outlook to neutral. Recent trade signals have triggered new long entries, reflecting the prevailing bullish sentiment. Volatility and volume metrics are moderate, supporting the trend without signs of exhaustion. Overall, the market is in a bullish phase in the short and intermediate term, with the long-term trend still in transition, possibly awaiting further confirmation from higher timeframes or macroeconomic catalysts.