UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Oct-13 07:18 CT
Price Action
- Last: 121'17.19,
- Bars: Medium,
- Mom: Momentum average.
WSFG Weekly
- Short-Term
- WSFG Current: -7%
- F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
- WSFG Trend: Down.
MSFG Month Oct
- Intermediate-Term
- MSFG Current: 32%
- F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
- MSFG Trend: Up.
YSFG Year 2025
- Long-Term
- YSFG Current: 11%
- F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
- YSFG Trend: Up.
Swing Pivots
- (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
- (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
- 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 122'06.25,
- 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 111'84375,
- 5. Levels R: 213'25, 212'08.5, 152'40.25, 151'78.125, 138'00, 137'93.75,
- 6. Levels S: 117'71.719, 111'84.375.
Weekly Benchmarks
- (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 123'96.53 Down Trend,
- (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 121'71.79 Up Trend,
- (Long-Term) 20 Week: 117'71.719 Up Trend,
- (Long-Term) 55 Week: 127'93.75 Down Trend,
- (Long-Term) 100 Week: 138'65.625 Down Trend,
- (Long-Term) 200 Week: 152'40.25 Down Trend.
Recent Trade Signals
- 10 Oct 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.84375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
- 10 Oct 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.71875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
Overall Rating
- Short-Term: Neutral,
- Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
- Long-Term: Bearish.
Key Insights Summary
The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in transition. Short-term price action is mixed, with momentum at average levels and the WSFG trend still pointing down, though the swing pivot trend has shifted to an uptrend. Intermediate-term signals are more constructive: both the MSFG and HiLo trends are up, and recent trade signals have triggered long entries, suggesting a potential for further upside. The 10- and 20-week moving averages are trending up, supporting this intermediate-term bullishness. However, the long-term picture remains bearish, with the 55-, 100-, and 200-week moving averages all in downtrends and price well below major resistance levels. Key support is found at 117'71.719 and 111'84.375, while significant resistance remains overhead. The market appears to be in a recovery phase, with a possible base forming, but faces substantial overhead supply and long-term downtrend pressure. This environment is characterized by a potential for countertrend rallies within a broader bearish structure, with volatility likely as the market tests key levels.
Chart Analysis ATS AI Generated: 2025-10-13 07:19 for Informational use only, not trading advice. Terms and Risk Disclosure Copyright © 2025. Algo Trading Systems LLC.