UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Oct-09 07:19 CT

Price Action

• Last: 120'15,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 7%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 120'00,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 121'25,
• 5. Levels R: 122'66, 121'25, 120'31,
• 6. Levels S: 120'00, 118'97, 118'03, 116'82, 115'84.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 120'13 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 120'09 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119'31 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118'31 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 117'14 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 116'16 Up Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 08 Oct 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.90625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 08 Oct 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.78125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 02 Oct 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.8125 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market in transition. Short-term momentum has slowed, with price action consolidating just above a recent swing low (120'00) and below the next resistance (121'25). The short-term trend is down, as confirmed by both the 5- and 10-day moving averages, but intermediate and long-term moving averages remain in uptrends, indicating underlying strength. The weekly session fib grid (WSFG) trend is down, but both the monthly (MSFG) and yearly (YSFG) fib grids are up, suggesting that the broader trend remains bullish despite short-term weakness. Recent trade signals have triggered long entries, aligning with the intermediate-term uptrend. Volatility (ATR) is moderate, and volume is steady. The market appears to be in a pullback or consolidation phase within a larger uptrend, with potential for a bounce if support holds and resistance is tested. Swing traders will note the mixed short-term signals but may see opportunity in the prevailing intermediate and long-term bullish structure.