UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Oct-08 07:18 CT

Price Action

• Last: 120.45781,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 18%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 14%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 119.0625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 122.65625,
• 5. Levels R: 122.65625, 121.1875, 119.8125,
• 6. Levels S: 119.0625, 118.625, 116.96875, 114.96875, 113.40625, 111.84375.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 120.8125 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 119.91853 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 118.50281 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 117.41844 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 116.825 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.3 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 08 Oct 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.78125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 07 Oct 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 119.46875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 02 Oct 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.8125 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart is showing a strong bullish structure across all timeframes. Price is currently above the key NTZ (neutral trading zone) levels for weekly, monthly, and yearly session fib grids, with all trends pointing up except for the 200-day moving average, which is still in a downtrend but flattening. The most recent swing pivot is a low at 119.0625, with the next potential resistance at the recent swing high of 122.65625. Multiple moving averages (5, 10, 20, 55, and 100 day) are all trending upward, supporting the bullish momentum. ATR and volume metrics indicate moderate volatility and healthy participation. Recent trade signals have flipped between short and long, but the latest signal is long, aligning with the prevailing uptrend. The market appears to be in a recovery phase, with higher lows and a series of successful tests of support, suggesting a continuation of the upward move. The technical backdrop is constructive, with the potential for further upside if resistance levels are challenged and broken.