UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Oct-07 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.46875,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -52%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -14%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 127.0625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 117.53125,
• 5. Levels R: 152.40625, 151.78125, 138.0000, 127.9375, 127.0625,
• 6. Levels S: 119.3125, 117.53125, 111.84375.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 123.95500 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 123.95500 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 123.95500 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 139.10766 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 139.10766 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 139.10766 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 07 Oct 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 119.46875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 02 Oct 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.8125 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 02 Oct 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.3125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in a corrective phase with mixed signals across timeframes. Price action is consolidating with medium-sized bars and slow momentum, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction. The short-term Weekly Session Fib Grid (WSFG) and intermediate-term Monthly Session Fib Grid (MSFG) both show price below their respective NTZ/F0% levels and are trending down, reflecting persistent downward pressure. However, the yearly grid (YSFG) is slightly positive, with price just above the yearly NTZ, hinting at potential long-term support or a base-building process. Swing pivots reveal a short-term uptrend but an intermediate-term downtrend, with the next key support at 117.53125 and resistance levels stacked well above current price, suggesting limited upside unless a breakout occurs. All benchmark moving averages from 5 to 200 weeks are in downtrends and above current price, reinforcing the dominant bearish structure. Recent trade signals show both long and short entries, highlighting the choppy, range-bound nature of the current environment. Overall, the chart reflects a market in consolidation after a prolonged decline, with short-term attempts to rally being capped by strong overhead resistance and persistent long-term bearish momentum. The setup is characterized by volatility within a defined range, with no clear breakout or breakdown yet established.