UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Oct-03 07:18 CT

Price Action

• Last: 120.97,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 39%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 13%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 122.0625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 117.40625,
• 5. Levels R: 213.25000, 212.81250, 202.06250, 152.40625, 151.78125, 139.23016, 137.93750, 127.93750,
• 6. Levels S: 117.10469, 111.84375.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 120.27 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 120.97 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 123.96 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 127.96 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 139.23 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 152.40 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 03 Oct 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.90625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 02 Oct 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.8125 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 02 Oct 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.3125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart is showing a notable shift in momentum, with price action currently above the key NTZ (neutral trading zone) levels across weekly, monthly, and yearly session fib grids. Both short-term and intermediate-term trends are up, supported by recent swing pivot highs and a series of higher lows, indicating a developing bullish structure. The 5, 10, and 20-week moving averages are all trending upward, reinforcing the positive momentum in the near to intermediate term. However, the longer-term 55, 100, and 200-week moving averages remain in a downtrend, suggesting that the broader trend is still neutralizing after a prolonged decline. Resistance levels are clustered well above current price, while support is established at 117.10 and 111.84, providing a clear risk framework. Recent trade signals have all been to the long side, aligning with the current bullish bias in the short and intermediate term. The market appears to be in a recovery phase, with potential for further upside if momentum persists, but longer-term headwinds remain until major resistance levels are overcome.