UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Oct-02 07:19 CT

Price Action

• Last: 120'31.25,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 30%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 7%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 122'06.25,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 117'06.25,
• 5. Levels R: 233'25.00, 218'12.50, 202'06.25, 152'06.25, 139'23.06, 127'09.37,
• 6. Levels S: 117'10.47, 111'08.37.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 120'17 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 117'10.47 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 123'09.68 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 117'10.47 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 139'23.06 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 152'06.25 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 02 Oct 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.3125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 01 Oct 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 119.90625 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a notable shift in momentum, with price action currently above the NTZ center and all session Fib grid trends (weekly, monthly, yearly) pointing upward. Both short-term and intermediate-term swing pivot trends are in an uptrend, supported by recent higher lows and a new pivot high. The price is trading above key intermediate and long-term moving averages (5, 10, 20, and 55 week), reinforcing the bullish tone in the short and intermediate timeframes. However, the 100 and 200 week moving averages remain in a downtrend, indicating that the longer-term structure is still neutral and has not fully reversed. Resistance levels are well above current price, while support is clustered just below, suggesting a potential for further upside if momentum continues. Recent trade signals reflect active participation in both directions, but the latest signal is long, aligning with the prevailing uptrend. The market appears to be in a recovery phase, with a possible trend continuation scenario developing after a prolonged period of consolidation and higher lows. Volatility remains moderate, and the technical structure suggests a transition from a basing pattern to a potential breakout environment.