UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Oct-02 07:19 CT

Price Action

• Last: 120.3125,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 30%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 7%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 119.03125,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 122.65625,
• 5. Levels R: 122.65625, 120.96875, 119.40625,
• 6. Levels S: 119.03125, 118.625, 116.8125.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 119.98 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 119.63 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119.08 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.51 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 117.76 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 117.52 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 02 Oct 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.3125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 01 Oct 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 119.90625 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart is showing a clear shift to bullish momentum in both the short- and intermediate-term timeframes. Price is trading above all key short- and intermediate-term moving averages, with the 5, 10, 20, and 55-day benchmarks all trending upward. The swing pivot structure confirms this, with both the short-term and intermediate-term trends in an uptrend, and the most recent pivot low at 119.03125 acting as a key support. Resistance is layered above at 120.96875 and 122.65625, with the next pivot high target at 122.65625. The Monthly and Weekly Session Fib Grids both show price holding above their NTZ (neutral zones), reinforcing the upward bias. However, the long-term moving averages (100 and 200 day) remain in a downtrend, suggesting that while the current rally is strong, it is still operating within a broader, longer-term consolidation or recovery phase. Volatility (ATR) and volume (VOLMA) are moderate, supporting the sustainability of the current move. Recent trade signals have flipped from short to long, reflecting the shift in momentum. Overall, the market is in a bullish swing phase with higher lows and a potential test of upper resistance levels, but the long-term trend remains neutral until those higher benchmarks are reclaimed.