ZB U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Oct-01 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 125'07.5,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: NA%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Neutral,
• WSFG Trend: Neutral.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: NA%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Neutral,
• MSFG Trend: Neutral.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: NA%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Neutral,
• YSFG Trend: Neutral.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend 2,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend 2,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 118'00.625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 114'31.25,
• 5. Levels R: 146'59.375, 134'59.375, 127'03.125, 121'12.5,
• 6. Levels S: 109'31.25, 106'78.125, 100'78.125.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 117'00 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 115'61.468 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 113'91.563 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 118'04 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 134'16.25 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 141'12.5 Down Trend.

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The ZB U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a notable shift in momentum, with both short-term and intermediate-term trends turning upward, as indicated by the swing pivot trends and the rising 5, 10, and 20-week moving averages. Price has recently moved above key support levels and is consolidating near the upper boundary of the NTZ (Neutral Trading Zone), suggesting a potential for further upside if resistance levels are challenged. However, the long-term trend remains bearish, with the 55, 100, and 200-week moving averages still trending down and well above current price, reflecting the broader downtrend that has dominated the past year. The market is currently in a recovery phase, with higher lows and a series of swing lows being respected, but significant overhead resistance remains. The overall environment is one of transition, with short- and intermediate-term bullishness developing within a still-bearish long-term structure, indicating a possible larger retracement or base-building phase rather than a confirmed long-term reversal.