UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Sep-26 07:19 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.29,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 82%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 119.03,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 121.56,
• 5. Levels R: 122.66, 121.56, 119.47,
• 6. Levels S: 119.03, 118.61, 114.97, 113.41, 111.84.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 119.03 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 119.03 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119.63 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.61 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 117.18 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 117.18 Up Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 25 Sep 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 119.25 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 25 Sep 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 119.46875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 22 Sep 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 119.28125 Signals.USAR.TR720

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a mixed environment for swing traders. Short-term momentum has shifted bearish, as indicated by the downward trend in both the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, a recent pivot low, and multiple short trade signals. Price is currently below the weekly session fib grid (WSFG) NTZ, reinforcing the short-term downside bias. However, the intermediate and long-term outlooks remain constructive, with price holding above the monthly and yearly fib grid NTZs and all longer-term moving averages trending upward. The intermediate-term pivot structure is in an uptrend, and support levels are layered below, suggesting that while a pullback is underway, the broader trend remains intact. Volatility is moderate, and volume is steady, indicating orderly price action rather than panic selling. Swing traders should note the potential for further short-term weakness, but the underlying uptrend on higher timeframes could attract buyers on deeper retracements, especially near key support zones.