UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Sep-24 07:19 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.33438,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 84%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 122.65625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 119.027,
• 5. Levels R: 122.65625, 119.927, 119.875,
• 6. Levels S: 119.027, 118.69047, 118.39334, 116.825, 114.96875, 113.40625, 111.84375.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 119.03125 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 119.0325 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 118.69047 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.39334 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 117.165 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 116.825 Up Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 24 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 23 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.40625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 22 Sep 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 119.28125 Signals.USAR.TR720

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market in transition. Short-term momentum has shifted to the downside, as indicated by the DTrend in the swing pivot and both the 5-day and 10-day moving averages trending lower. Price is currently below the weekly session fib grid (WSFG) NTZ, reinforcing a short-term bearish bias. However, the intermediate and long-term outlooks remain constructive: the monthly and yearly session fib grids (MSFG and YSFG) both show price above their NTZs, with uptrends in the 20, 55, 100, and 200-day moving averages. The most recent swing pivot is a high at 122.65625, with the next key support at 119.027 and a cluster of additional supports below. Recent trade signals reflect this mixed environment, with a short signal followed by two consecutive long signals, suggesting active two-way trade and possible attempts to find a bottom after a pullback. Volatility (ATR) is moderate, and volume is steady. Overall, the market is experiencing a short-term retracement within a broader uptrend, with the potential for further consolidation or a resumption of the upward move if support levels hold.