UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Sep-22 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 120.40625,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 80%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 127.0625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 117.40625,
• 5. Levels R: 152.40625, 151.78125, 138.0000, 137.93750, 127.93750,
• 6. Levels S: 117.01406, 111.84375.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 119.9214 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 119.9214 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 123.9276 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 127.9276 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 139.06719 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 175.016 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 18 Sep 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 120.40625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 17 Sep 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 120.90625 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in transition. Short-term momentum is slow, with price action currently below the weekly session fib grid (WSFG) neutral zone, confirming a short-term bearish trend. This is reinforced by recent short trade signals and a downward swing pivot trend. However, the intermediate-term picture is more constructive: the monthly session fib grid (MSFG) trend is up, with price above the monthly neutral zone and both the 5- and 10-week moving averages trending higher, supported by an upward HiLo swing trend. Long-term, the market remains under pressure, as the 55-, 100-, and 200-week moving averages all slope downward, and price is well below these benchmarks, indicating persistent bearishness on a multi-year basis. Key resistance levels cluster above at 127.93750 and higher, while support is found at 117.01406 and 111.84375. The market is currently testing the lower end of its recent range, with the next swing pivot low in focus. Overall, the chart reflects a choppy environment with counter-trend rallies within a broader bearish structure, suggesting ongoing volatility and the potential for further tests of support before any sustained reversal.