UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Sep-22 07:19 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.734,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 80%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 122.65625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 119.34375,
• 5. Levels R: 122.65625, 120.40625, 119.90625,
• 6. Levels S: 119.34375, 118.6875, 118.15625, 117.16813, 114.96875, 113.40625, 111.84375.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 120.13 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 119.91 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119.63 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.29 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.08 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 117.17 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 18 Sep 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 120.40625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 17 Sep 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 120.90625 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a recent sharp pullback from a swing high at 122.65625, with price now at 119.734 and large, fast-moving bars indicating heightened volatility. Short-term momentum has shifted bearish, confirmed by the downtrend in both the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, as well as the current swing pivot trend (DTrend). The weekly session fib grid (WSFG) also points to a short-term downtrend, with price below the NTZ center. However, the intermediate and long-term outlooks remain constructive: the monthly and yearly session fib grids (MSFG, YSFG) both show price above their respective NTZ centers and in uptrends, supported by rising 20, 55, and 100-day moving averages. The swing pivot structure highlights a recent pivot high and a potential test of support at 119.34375, with further support levels below. Recent trade signals have triggered short entries, aligning with the short-term bearish momentum. Overall, the market is experiencing a corrective phase within a broader bullish structure, with volatility elevated and key support levels in focus for potential stabilization or further downside testing.