UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Sep-21 18:12 CT

Price Action

• Last: 120.40625,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Momentum fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 77%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 120.40625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 122.65625,
• 5. Levels R: 122.65625, 119.70344, 118.76047, 118.16797, 117.61813,
• 6. Levels S: 114.96875, 113.40625, 111.84375.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 119.63438 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 119.01328 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 118.28702 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 117.61813 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 117.16813 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.70344 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 18 Sep 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 120.40625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 17 Sep 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 120.90625 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart currently reflects a complex interplay between short-term bearish momentum and intermediate-to-long-term bullish structure. Price action has seen a sharp move lower, with large bars and fast momentum, confirming a short-term downtrend (DTrend) as indicated by the swing pivot and both 5- and 10-day moving averages trending down. The recent short trade signals align with this short-term weakness. However, the intermediate and long-term trends remain up, supported by the 20-, 55-, and 100-day moving averages, as well as the MSFG and YSFG trends, which show price holding above key monthly and yearly fib grid levels. Resistance is layered above at 122.65625 and 119.70344, while support is well below at 114.96875 and 113.40625, suggesting a wide trading range. Volatility is elevated (ATR 46), and volume remains robust. The market appears to be in a corrective pullback within a broader uptrend, with potential for further downside in the short term before a possible resumption of the larger bullish trend.