UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Sep-19 07:17 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.28125,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -52%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 72%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 119.0625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 122.65625,
• 5. Levels R: 122.65625,
• 6. Levels S: 119.0625, 118.625, 117.9625, 117.19625, 114.96875, 113.40625, 111.84375.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 120.03125 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 120.3125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 118.79719 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.23538 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 117.19625 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 117.19625 Up Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 18 Sep 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 120.40625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 17 Sep 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 120.90625 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart currently reflects a strong short-term bearish momentum, as indicated by the recent large, fast-moving bars and a downward trend in both the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. The WSFG (weekly) trend is down, with price trading below the NTZ center, reinforcing the short-term bearish outlook. However, the intermediate-term (monthly) and long-term (yearly) trends remain bullish, with price above the MSFG and YSFG NTZ centers and all longer-term moving averages trending upward. The swing pivot structure shows a recent pivot low at 119.0625, with the next potential resistance at 122.65625, and multiple support levels below. Recent trade signals have triggered short entries, aligning with the short-term downtrend. Volatility is elevated (ATR 46), and volume remains robust. Overall, the market is experiencing a short-term pullback or correction within a broader bullish structure, suggesting a period of retracement against the prevailing intermediate and long-term uptrends.