UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Sep-18 07:15 CT

Price Action

• Last: 140.90625,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 11%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 107%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 10%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 127.0625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 111.84375,
• 5. Levels R: 152.40625, 151.78125, 138.0000, 137.9375, 127.9375,
• 6. Levels S: 111.84375.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 116.95313 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 121.105 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 123.87719 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 127.9375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 138.0000 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 152.40625 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 17 Sep 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 120.90625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 16 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 121.53125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a notable shift in momentum, with price action currently above all key session Fib grid centers (WSFG, MSFG, YSFG), indicating a strong upward bias across short, intermediate, and long-term timeframes. Both the short-term swing pivot and intermediate HiLo trends are in uptrends, supported by a series of higher lows and a recent push above the NTZ (neutral zone) on all session grids. The 5, 10, and 20-week moving averages are trending up, confirming the bullish momentum in the short and intermediate term, while the longer-term 55, 100, and 200-week averages remain in downtrends, suggesting that the broader bear market structure is not yet fully reversed. Resistance levels are stacked above, with the nearest at 127.9375 and 138.0000, while strong support is established at 111.84375. Recent trade signals show mixed short-term activity but reinforce the overall upward bias. The chart reflects a market in recovery mode, with potential for further upside if resistance levels are breached, but with lingering overhead supply from the longer-term downtrend benchmarks. The environment is characterized by a transition from consolidation to a possible trend continuation, with volatility likely as price tests key resistance zones.