UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Sep-18 07:14 CT

Price Action

• Last: 121'05,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Momentum fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 11%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 107%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 10%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 121'05,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 118'16,
• 5. Levels R: 121'05, 119'17, 119'03, 118'25, 118'16,
• 6. Levels S: 114'96, 113'40, 111'84.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 119'17 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118'25 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 118'16 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 117'18 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118'82 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 121'16 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 17 Sep 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 120.90625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 16 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 121.53125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart is showing strong upward momentum, with large bars and fast price action indicating a recent surge. All short- and intermediate-term session fib grid trends (WSFG, MSFG) are up, with price trading above the NTZ/F0% levels, confirming bullish sentiment. Swing pivots are in an uptrend, with the most recent pivot high at 121'05 and the next potential pivot low at 118'16, suggesting the market is currently in a strong rally phase. Resistance levels are stacked above, but support is well-defined below, indicating a healthy trend structure. Short- and intermediate-term moving averages are all trending up, while long-term averages remain in a downtrend, reflecting a possible transition phase on the higher timeframes. ATR and volume metrics show elevated activity, supporting the current volatility. Recent trade signals show both long and short entries, highlighting active swing trading conditions. Overall, the short- and intermediate-term outlook is bullish, while the long-term remains neutral as the market tests key resistance and attempts to establish a sustained reversal.