UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Sep-15 07:17 CT

Price Action

• Last: 120.65625,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 98%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: Neutral,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 121.93750,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 116.68750,
• 5. Levels R: 151.78125, 138.00000, 137.93750, 127.93750, 121.93750,
• 6. Levels S: 116.68750, 111.84375.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 121.103 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 116.95313 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 123.87719 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 140.90625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 0.00 Neutral,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 0.00 Neutral.

Recent Trade Signals

• 12 Sep 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 120.65625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 08 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.03125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The weekly chart for UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures shows a market in transition. Short-term momentum is slow, with price action currently below the weekly session fib grid (WSFG) neutral zone, and the short-term trend remains down. The most recent swing pivot is a high at 121.93750, with the next key support at 116.68750, indicating a potential test of lower levels if selling persists. Intermediate-term signals are mixed: the monthly session fib grid (MSFG) trend is up, but the HiLo trend is neutral and the 5-week moving average is trending down, while the 10-week is up, suggesting indecision and possible consolidation. Long-term, the yearly session fib grid (YSFG) trend is up, and price is above the yearly neutral zone, hinting at a possible base-building phase or early reversal, though the 20- and 55-week moving averages are still in downtrends. Resistance levels are stacked above, with significant overhead supply at 121.93750 and 127.93750. Recent trade signals reflect this choppy environment, with both long and short entries triggered in close succession. Overall, the chart suggests a market caught between persistent long-term bearishness and emerging signs of stabilization, with short-term downside risk but potential for a longer-term recovery if key support holds and momentum improves.