UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Sep-15 07:17 CT

Price Action

• Last: 121'04,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Momentum fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 98%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 121'04,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 119'03.75,
• 5. Levels R: 121'16, 120'25, 119'21.5,
• 6. Levels S: 117'97.5, 117'76.6, 117'09.06.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 119'21.5 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118'82.86 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117'97.95 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 117'76.66 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 117'09.06 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118'21.25 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 12 Sep 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 120.65625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 08 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.03125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures have experienced a strong upside breakout, with large, fast-momentum bars pushing price well above key intermediate and long-term moving averages. The short-term and intermediate-term swing pivot trends are both in uptrends, with the most recent pivot high at 121'04 and the next potential pivot low at 119'03.75. Resistance levels are clustered just above the current price, while support is well below, indicating a strong upward move with little immediate overhead supply. The MSFG and YSFG both show price above their respective NTZ/F0% levels, confirming the bullish bias for both the monthly and yearly timeframes. The 5, 10, 20, 55, and 100-day moving averages are all trending up, with only the 200-day still in a downtrend, suggesting a possible longer-term trend reversal in progress. Recent trade signals show both long and short entries, reflecting the volatility and rapid price movement. Overall, the technical structure points to a bullish environment across all timeframes, with the potential for further upside if resistance levels are cleared and momentum persists.