UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Sep-14 18:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 122'16,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Momentum fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 55%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 97%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 121.9375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 119.25,
• 5. Levels R: 122'16, 121'9375,
• 6. Levels S: 119'25, 118'2826, 117'9796, 117'7666, 117'1709, 116'6023, 114'9687, 113'4062, 111'8437.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 120.97 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 119.91 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 118.83 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 117.08 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 117.09 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.28 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 12 Sep 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 120.65625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 08 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.03125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures are exhibiting strong bullish momentum across all timeframes, with price action breaking above key resistance levels and all major moving averages (except the 200-day, which is still lagging) trending upward. The recent large bars and fast momentum indicate a powerful rally, likely driven by a combination of technical breakout and supportive macro factors. Both the weekly and monthly session fib grids show price well above their respective NTZ/F0% levels, confirming the uptrend. Swing pivots are in an uptrend, with the most recent pivot high acting as immediate resistance and a series of higher support levels below. The ATR and volume metrics suggest heightened volatility and participation, typical of a breakout or trend acceleration phase. Recent trade signals show both long and short entries, but the prevailing trend remains upward. Overall, the market is in a strong bullish phase, with potential for further upside as long as support levels hold and momentum persists.