UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Sep-11 07:17 CT

Price Action

• Last: 140.49831,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 45%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 91%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: Neutral,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 121.46875,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 115.09375,
• 5. Levels R: 233.25000, 212.81250, 198.62500, 182.03125, 151.78125, 138.00000, 137.93750, 127.93750, 121.75000,
• 6. Levels S: 111.84375.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 116.87344 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 120.24344 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 123.87219 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 140.49831 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 151.78125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 182.03125 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 10 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 121.21875 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 08 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.03125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 05 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 118.03125 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 04 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 117.34375 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a notable shift in short-term momentum, with price action breaking above key NTZ (neutral trading zone) levels across the weekly, monthly, and yearly session fib grids, all indicating an upward bias. The short-term swing pivot trend is up, supported by a series of recent long trade signals and rising short/intermediate-term moving averages. However, the intermediate-term HiLo trend remains neutral, and long-term moving averages (55, 100, 200 week) are still trending down, reflecting the broader bearish structure from previous months. Price is currently testing resistance zones, with the next major support at 111.84375 and resistance levels stacked above. The market appears to be in a recovery phase, with a potential for further upside if momentum persists, but the overall structure suggests a transition period rather than a confirmed long-term reversal. Volatility and choppy price action may persist as the market navigates these key levels.