UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Sep-10 07:18 CT

Price Action

• Last: 120.09375,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Momentum fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 19%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 77%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 120.09375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 118.89297,
• 5. Levels R: 126.03125, 124.03125, 122.03125, 120.09375,
• 6. Levels S: 118.89297, 117.55129, 116.97509, 114.96875, 113.40625, 111.84375.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118.89 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 117.55 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 116.98 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 116.97 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.40 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.08 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 08 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.03125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 05 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 118.03125 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 04 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 117.34375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 03 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 116.84375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures have experienced a strong upside breakout, with price action showing large bars and fast momentum, confirming a decisive move higher. All short- and intermediate-term session fib grid trends (WSFG, MSFG) are up, with price holding above their respective NTZ/F0% levels, indicating persistent bullish sentiment. Swing pivots confirm an uptrend in both short- and intermediate-term, with the most recent pivot high at 120.09375 and the next potential support at 118.89297. Multiple resistance levels remain overhead, but the recent surge has cleared several prior resistance zones. Daily benchmarks show all short- and intermediate-term moving averages trending up, while long-term MAs (100 and 200 day) are still in a downtrend, suggesting the longer-term trend is not yet fully aligned with the current rally. ATR and volume metrics indicate heightened volatility and strong participation. Recent trade signals have consistently triggered long entries, supporting the bullish case in the short and intermediate term. Overall, the market is in a bullish phase for swing traders, with strong upward momentum and trend alignment in the short and intermediate timeframes, while the long-term trend remains neutral as it awaits further confirmation.