UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Sep-09 07:17 CT

Price Action

• Last: 120.16,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 31%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 82%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 7%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend 2,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: Neutral,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 121.09375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 111.84375,
• 5. Levels R: 151.78125, 138.00000, 137.93750, 127.93750, 121.09375,
• 6. Levels S: 111.84375.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 120.16 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 116.87 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 123.87 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 140.49 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 151.78 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 213.12 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 08 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.03125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 05 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 118.03125 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 04 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 117.34375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 03 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 116.84375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart is showing a notable shift in short-term momentum, with price action breaking above key NTZ/F0% levels across the weekly, monthly, and yearly session fib grids, all of which are trending up. The swing pivot structure confirms a short-term uptrend, with the most recent pivot high at 121.09375 and the next significant support at 111.84375. Resistance levels are stacked above, with the nearest at 121.09375 and more substantial resistance at 127.93750 and 138.00000, indicating potential upside targets if the rally continues. Intermediate-term trends are more neutral, as reflected in the HiLo trend and the alignment of moving averages, with the 5 and 10 week MAs trending up but longer-term MAs (55, 100, 200 week) still in downtrends, highlighting the broader bearish context that persists from previous cycles. Recent trade signals have all been to the long side, supporting the current short-term bullish bias. Overall, the market is in a recovery phase from prior lows, with a series of higher lows and a test of overhead resistance. The environment suggests a transition from consolidation to a potential trend continuation, but with significant overhead resistance and long-term moving averages still declining, the longer-term outlook remains neutral. Volatility and choppy price action may persist as the market tests these higher levels.