UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Sep-08 07:18 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116.87344,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 69%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: Neutral,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 119.93750,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 114.62500,
• 5. Levels R: 151.78125, 138.00000, 137.93750, 127.93750, 121.7500,
• 6. Levels S: 111.84375, 119.923.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 119.923 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 123.87219 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 123.87219 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 140.49831 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 140.49831 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 140.49831 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 05 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 118.03125 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 04 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 117.34375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 03 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 116.84375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 03 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 116.59375 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a recent shift in short-term momentum, with price action moving above key NTZ/F0% levels across weekly, monthly, and yearly session fib grids, all indicating an upward bias. The short-term swing pivot trend is up, supported by a cluster of recent long trade signals, while the intermediate-term HiLo trend remains neutral, suggesting some consolidation or indecision at this timeframe. Price is currently below major long-term moving averages (20, 55, 100, 200 week), all trending down, which tempers the long-term outlook and highlights overhead resistance. Key resistance levels are stacked well above current price, while support is defined just below. The market appears to be in a recovery phase from prior lows, with a slow momentum and medium-sized bars, hinting at a cautious but constructive environment for swing traders. The overall structure suggests a short-term bullish bias, but intermediate and long-term trends remain neutral, reflecting a market in transition, potentially setting up for further tests of resistance or a broader base-building phase.