UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Sep-08 07:18 CT

Price Action

• Last: 118.90625,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Momentum fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 69%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 119.03125,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 117.46875,
• 5. Levels R: 119.78125, 119.03125, 118.62500,
• 6. Levels S: 114.96875, 113.40625, 111.84375.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 116.99 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 116.39 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 116.99 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 117.24 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 116.99 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.03 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 05 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 118.03125 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 04 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 117.34375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 03 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 116.84375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 03 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 116.59375 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures have experienced a strong upside move, with large bullish bars and fast momentum pushing price above key short- and intermediate-term Fib grid levels. The current swing structure is in an uptrend, with both short-term and intermediate-term pivot trends confirming upward movement. Price is trading above the NTZ (neutral zone) on all timeframes, and recent trade signals have all been to the long side, reflecting the current bullish sentiment. The 5, 10, and 20-day moving averages are all trending up, supporting the short- and intermediate-term bullish case, while the longer-term 55, 100, and 200-day averages remain in a downtrend, suggesting the longer-term trend is still neutral and has not fully reversed. Resistance is now close overhead at 119.03125 and 119.78125, with support well below at 114.96875 and 113.40625. Volatility is elevated (ATR 46), and volume is robust, indicating strong participation in this move. The market is in a potential breakout phase, with a V-shaped recovery from recent lows and a test of major resistance levels underway. The overall structure favors continued bullish momentum in the short- and intermediate-term, while the long-term trend remains to be confirmed.