UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Sep-05 07:17 CT

Price Action

• Last: 118.92313,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 77%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 32%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 0%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Neutral,
• YSFG Trend: Neutral.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: Neutral,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 118.09375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 115.78125,
• 5. Levels R: 126.09375, 124.03125, 120.46875, 119.78125, 119.03125, 118.09375, 116.62500,
• 6. Levels S: 114.96875, 113.40625, 111.84375.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117.728 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 116.99594 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 116.50938 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 117.178 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.09531 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.09375 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 05 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 118.03125 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 04 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 117.34375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 03 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 116.84375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 03 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 116.59375 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures are showing a strong short-term and intermediate-term bullish trend, with price action breaking above key moving averages and the NTZ/F0% levels on both the weekly and monthly session fib grids. Momentum is fast, and recent bars are medium-sized, indicating active participation and a potential shift in sentiment. The swing pivot structure confirms an uptrend in the short term, with the next key support at 115.78125 and resistance levels stacked above, suggesting room for further upside if momentum continues. Intermediate-term trend is also up, supported by recent long trade signals and positive moving average crossovers in the short-term benchmarks. However, the long-term trend remains neutral, as the 100-day and 200-day moving averages are still in a downtrend and price is approaching these resistance zones. Volatility is moderate, and volume is healthy, supporting the current move. Overall, the market is in a bullish phase for swing traders, with a focus on trend continuation and monitoring for any signs of exhaustion or reversal as price approaches long-term resistance.