UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Sep-04 07:18 CT

Price Action

• Last: 120.09375,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 56%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 25%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 119.40625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 111.84375,
• 5. Levels R: 151.78125, 138.00000, 137.93750, 127.93750, 122.81250,
• 6. Levels S: 119.40625, 111.84375.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 120.73181 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 123.85563 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 123.85563 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 140.92968 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 149.02969 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 162.73181 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 04 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 116.9375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 03 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 116.84375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 03 Sep 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 116.59375 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The weekly chart for UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures shows a mixed environment across timeframes. Short-term momentum has shifted upward, with price action above the weekly and monthly session fib grid centers and a recent series of long signals, indicating a bullish bias for swing traders in the near term. However, intermediate-term signals are more neutral, as the HiLo trend remains down and the 10- and 20-week moving averages are still trending lower, suggesting that the market is in a consolidation phase rather than a clear uptrend. Long-term structure remains bearish, with price well below the 55-, 100-, and 200-week moving averages and the yearly fib grid center, reflecting persistent downward pressure from higher timeframes. Key resistance levels are clustered above, and the most recent swing high and low pivots define a range-bound environment. The market appears to be attempting a recovery from a major low, but faces significant overhead resistance and has yet to break out of its broader downtrend. This setup is typical of a market in transition, where short-term rallies may encounter strong selling at higher levels, and longer-term participants remain cautious.