UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Sep-03 07:17 CT

Price Action

• Last: 115.72,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -29%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -7%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 113.40625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119.46875,
• 5. Levels R: 119.78125, 119.46875, 118.68475, 118.60225, 117.21875, 116.98875,
• 6. Levels S: 113.40625, 111.84375.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 116.04 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 116.30 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 116.92 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.92 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.06 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.75 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 02 Sep 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 115.40625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 29 Aug 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 116.75 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 28 Aug 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 117 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart is showing a clear bearish structure across all timeframes. Price is trading below all major moving averages, with each benchmark (5, 10, 20, 55, 100, and 200 day) in a downtrend, confirming persistent downside momentum. The swing pivot trend is down both short and intermediate term, with the most recent pivot low at 113.40625 and resistance levels stacked well above current price, indicating that rallies are being sold and lower highs are forming. The price remains below the NTZ (neutral trading zone) on the weekly, monthly, and yearly session fib grids, reinforcing the dominant downward bias. Recent trade signals have favored the short side, and volatility (ATR) is moderate, with volume slightly elevated. The market appears to be in a sustained downtrend, with no immediate signs of reversal, and any bounces are encountering strong resistance. This environment is characterized by trend continuation, lower highs, and a lack of bullish momentum.