UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Sep-02 07:17 CT

Price Action

• Last: 115.40625,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -41%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -11%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -7%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 113.40625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119.78125,
• 5. Levels R: 119.78125, 119.46875, 119.3125, 118.625, 118.4375, 118.3125, 117.90625, 117.8125,
• 6. Levels S: 113.40625, 111.84375.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 116.80225 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 116.8125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.4719 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 116.965 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.0075 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 123.7500 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 02 Sep 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 115.40625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 29 Aug 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 116.75 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 28 Aug 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 117 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures market is exhibiting a clear bearish structure across all timeframes. Price action is characterized by medium-sized bars and slow momentum, with the last price at 115.40625, notably below all key moving averages and session fib grid centers. The weekly, monthly, and yearly session fib grids all show price below their respective NTZ/F0% levels, reinforcing a persistent downtrend. Swing pivot analysis confirms a dominant downtrend, with the most recent pivot low at 113.40625 and the next potential reversal only at a much higher level (119.78125), suggesting significant resistance overhead. All benchmark moving averages are trending down, and recent trade signals have shifted decisively to the short side. Volatility (ATR) and volume (VOLMA) are moderate, indicating steady but not extreme market activity. Overall, the technical landscape points to continued downside pressure, with no immediate signs of reversal or consolidation, and resistance levels stacked well above current price.