UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Aug-31 18:11 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116.96590,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 116.96590,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119.46875,
• 5. Levels R: 119.78125, 119.46875, 117.93750, 117.40625, 116.84375,
• 6. Levels S: 113.40625, 111.84375.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117.4005 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 117.1741 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.4719 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 116.8023 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.0887 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.0750 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 29 Aug 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 116.75 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 28 Aug 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 117.28125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 28 Aug 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 117 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart is showing a persistent bearish structure across all timeframes. Price is currently below all key session fib grid levels (weekly, monthly, yearly), and the trend for each is down. The most recent swing pivot is a low at 116.96590, with the next potential reversal at the swing high of 119.46875, but resistance levels are stacked above current price, suggesting overhead supply. All benchmark moving averages (from 5-day to 200-day) are trending down, reinforcing the prevailing downside momentum. ATR and volume metrics indicate moderate volatility and participation, but not at extremes. Recent trade signals show mixed short and long entries, but the dominant direction is to the downside. The market appears to be in a corrective or continuation phase lower, with no clear signs of reversal or strong buying interest. The technical environment is characterized by lower highs, lower lows, and persistent pressure, with any rallies likely to encounter resistance at the highlighted pivot and moving average levels.