UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Aug-28 07:17 CT

Price Action

• Last: 120.88623,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -23%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 119.40675,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 111.84375,
• 5. Levels R: 151.78125, 138.00000, 137.93750, 127.93750, 119.40675,
• 6. Levels S: 111.84375.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 120.88623 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 119.40675 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 123.91188 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 141.35615 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 171.12875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 217.8625 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 27 Aug 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 115.90625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 25 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 116.9375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 21 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 116.40625 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The weekly chart for UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures continues to reflect a dominant bearish environment across all timeframes. Price action remains subdued with slow momentum and medium-sized bars, indicating a lack of strong buying interest. The WSFG (Weekly Session Fib Grid) and YSFG (Yearly Session Fib Grid) both show price below their respective NTZ (neutral trading zones) and are trending down, reinforcing the short- and long-term bearish bias. The MSFG (Monthly Session Fib Grid) is slightly positive but is overshadowed by the prevailing downtrends in the other grids and the recent sequence of short trade signals. Swing pivot analysis confirms the downward pressure, with both short-term and intermediate-term trends in decline, and the next significant support level at 111.84375. Resistance levels are stacked well above current price, suggesting any rallies may face strong overhead supply. All benchmark moving averages from 5-week to 200-week are trending down, further confirming the entrenched bearish structure. Recent trade signals have all been to the short side, aligning with the technical picture. The market appears to be in a prolonged downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows dominating the chart. There is no evidence of a reversal or significant bounce at this stage, and the overall structure suggests continued weakness unless a major catalyst emerges.