UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Aug-27 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116.90625,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -43%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 119.40625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 111.84375,
• 5. Levels R: 151.78125, 138.00000, 137.93750, 127.93750, 119.40625,
• 6. Levels S: 111.84375.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 117.12875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 116.94475 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 120.88625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 123.91188 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 141.35613 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 170.88263 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 25 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 116.9375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 22 Aug 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 117.5 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 21 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 116.40625 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart continues to reflect a persistent bearish environment across all timeframes. Price action remains subdued, with slow momentum and medium-sized bars, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction but a clear downward bias. All major session Fib Grid trends (weekly, monthly, yearly) are negative, with price consistently below their respective NTZ/F0% levels, reinforcing the prevailing downtrend. Swing pivot analysis shows both short-term and intermediate-term trends are down, with the next significant support at 111.84375 and resistance levels well above current price, suggesting limited upside potential in the near term. All benchmark moving averages from short to long-term are trending down, confirming the entrenched bearish structure. Recent trade signals have favored the short side, aligning with the broader technical picture. The market appears to be in a prolonged consolidation within a lower range, with no signs yet of a reversal or significant bounce, and any rallies have been met with resistance and subsequent selling pressure.