UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Aug-27 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116.9375,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -43%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 116.84375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 118.375,
• 5. Levels R: 119.78125, 119.46875, 119.03125, 118.625, 118.375,
• 6. Levels S: 113.40625, 111.84375.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117.0625 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 117.0625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.1699 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.1184 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.9375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 121.4236 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 25 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 116.9375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 22 Aug 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 117.5 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 21 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 116.40625 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart reflects a persistent bearish environment across all timeframes. Price is trading below all key moving averages and session fib grid centers, with the most recent swing pivot confirming a downtrend. The market has failed to reclaim any significant resistance, and the most recent trade signals have favored the short side, aligning with the prevailing trend. Volatility, as measured by ATR, remains moderate, while volume is steady but not signaling a major shift in participation. The technical structure shows a series of lower highs and lower lows, with price consolidating near recent swing lows, suggesting continued pressure. The overall setup points to a market in a controlled downtrend, with no immediate signs of reversal or strong counter-trend momentum.