UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Aug-26 07:19 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116.21,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -29%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 116.21,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 118.4375,
• 5. Levels R: 119.78125, 119.46875, 118.4375, 118.03125, 117.90625, 117.625, 117.3125, 116.625,
• 6. Levels S: 113.40625, 111.84375.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 116.9375 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 117.09375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.25313 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 117.9375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.14563 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 127.9375 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 25 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 116.9375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 22 Aug 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 117.5 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 21 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 116.40625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 18 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 116.25 Signals.USAR.TR720

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart is exhibiting a clear bearish structure across all timeframes. Price is trading below all key moving averages, with each benchmark (5, 10, 20, 55, 100, and 200 day) in a downtrend, confirming persistent downside momentum. The swing pivot trend is down both short- and intermediate-term, with the most recent pivot low at 116.21 and the next potential reversal only above 118.4375. Resistance levels are stacked above, while support is distant, suggesting limited immediate downside targets but little sign of reversal. The ATR and volume metrics indicate moderate volatility and participation. Recent trade signals have favored the short side, aligning with the prevailing trend. The market appears to be in a sustained downtrend, with no technical evidence of a reversal or significant bounce at this stage. Price action is choppy within a defined range, but the overall bias remains to the downside.