BTC CME Bitcoin Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Aug-26 07:03 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117314,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -53%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -47%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 42%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: Neutral,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 109065,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 117085,
• 5. Levels R: 125425, 124560, 117085, 114299,
• 6. Levels S: 110500, 108065, 101450, 101345, 73465, 67275.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 114320 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 114300 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117115 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 114900 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 107988 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 103803 Up Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 1025,
• VOLMA: 15061.

Recent Trade Signals

• 22 Aug 2025: Long BTC 08-25 @ 117245 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 19 Aug 2025: Short BTC 08-25 @ 113905 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 19 Aug 2025: Short BTC 08-25 @ 113905 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 18 Aug 2025: Short BTC 08-25 @ 116615 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The current BTC CME futures daily chart reflects a market in transition. Price action has recently shifted lower, with medium-sized bars and slow momentum, indicating a lack of aggressive selling but a clear directional bias. Both the weekly and monthly session fib grids (WSFG and MSFG) show price below their respective NTZ centers and in a downtrend, confirming short- and intermediate-term bearishness. The swing pivot structure is in a short-term downtrend, with the next key resistance levels well above current price and multiple support levels below, suggesting the market is probing for a base. Daily benchmarks for the 5, 10, 20, and 55-day moving averages are all trending down, reinforcing the prevailing weakness, while the 100 and 200-day moving averages remain in uptrends, highlighting that the longer-term structure is still intact. Volatility (ATR) is moderate, and volume is steady but not elevated, indicating no panic or capitulation. Recent trade signals have been mixed, with a recent long signal following a series of shorts, reflecting the choppy, corrective nature of the current environment. Overall, the short- and intermediate-term outlook is bearish, but the long-term trend remains bullish, suggesting this may be a corrective phase within a larger uptrend. The market is currently in a retracement or consolidation phase, with potential for further downside tests before any sustained recovery.