UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Aug-22 07:18 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116.40625,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 119.87500,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 114.00000,
• 5. Levels R: 152.00000, 138.21875, 128.15625, 126.90625, 119.87500,
• 6. Levels S: 112.06250.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 116.98875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 116.0975 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 121.23955 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 124.21906 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 141.89922 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 171.74875 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 21 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 116.40625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 21 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 116.40625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 18 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 116.25 Signals.USAR.TR720

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures chart reflects a persistent bearish environment across all timeframes. Price action is subdued with medium-sized bars and slow momentum, indicating a lack of strong buying interest. While the short-term WSFG shows a minor upward move with price above the NTZ center, this is countered by the dominant downtrends in both the intermediate and long-term MSFG and YSFG grids, where price remains below key NTZ levels. Swing pivot analysis confirms the prevailing downtrend, with the most recent pivot high at 119.87500 and the next potential support at 114.00000, while major resistance levels remain well above current price. All benchmark moving averages are trending down, reinforcing the broader bearish structure. Recent trade signals have also favored the short side, aligning with the overall technical picture. The market appears to be in a prolonged corrective or distribution phase, with rallies being sold and no evidence yet of a sustained reversal. This environment is characterized by lower highs, continued pressure on support, and a lack of bullish momentum, suggesting that any countertrend moves are likely to be short-lived within the broader downtrend.