UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Aug-22 07:18 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116.9375,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 116.09375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119.6875,
• 5. Levels R: 128.15625, 120.0, 119.6875, 118.34375, 117.34375,
• 6. Levels S: 113.625, 112.0625.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 116.78125 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 117.34375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.58406 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.78125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.4453 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 121.78125 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 21 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 116.40625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 21 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 116.40625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 18 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 116.25 Signals.USAR.TR720

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart reflects a market under sustained downside pressure across all timeframes. Price action is consolidating near recent lows, with medium-sized bars and slow momentum, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction but a persistent bearish undertone. The short-term WSFG trend is up, but this is countered by the monthly and yearly session fib grids, both of which show price below their respective NTZ centers and in clear downtrends. Swing pivot analysis confirms a dominant downtrend, with the most recent evolution at a pivot low and the next potential reversal only at a much higher price. Resistance levels are stacked well above current price, while support is further below, suggesting room for further downside if selling resumes. All benchmark moving averages from short to long term are trending down, reinforcing the bearish structure. Recent trade signals have all been to the short side, aligning with the prevailing technical picture. Volatility (ATR) and volume (VOLMA) are moderate, supporting the view of a controlled but persistent decline rather than a panic-driven selloff. Overall, the technical landscape points to a market in a bearish phase, with no immediate signs of reversal or strong buying interest.