UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Aug-21 07:22 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.3125,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 0%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Neutral,
• WSFG Trend: Neutral.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 119.8750,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 114.0000,
• 5. Levels R: 152.0000, 138.21875, 128.15625, 124.03125, 119.8750,
• 6. Levels S: 112.0625.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 119.09875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 119.0975 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 121.23955 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 124.21906 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 141.89922 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 149.74875 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 21 Aug 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 117.3125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 19 Aug 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 117.125 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 18 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 116.25 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 13 Aug 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 118.3125 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart reflects a market in a prolonged downtrend, with all major moving averages (from 5-week to 200-week) trending lower and price action consistently below these benchmarks. The short-term environment is neutral, as indicated by the WSFG and recent mixed trade signals, suggesting a period of consolidation or indecision after a series of lower lows. Intermediate and long-term trends remain bearish, with both the MSFG and YSFG showing price below their respective NTZ zones and negative trend readings. Swing pivots confirm the dominance of lower highs and lower lows, with resistance levels stacked well above current price and only distant support at 112.0625. The market appears to be in a corrective phase within a broader downtrend, with momentum slow and price action contained within a range. This setup often precedes either a continuation of the prevailing trend or a significant reversal, but as of now, the technical structure favors a cautious stance with a bearish bias on higher timeframes.