UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Aug-21 07:22 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.6875,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 0%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Neutral,
• WSFG Trend: Neutral.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 116.09375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119.6875,
• 5. Levels R: 128.15625, 120.0, 119.6875, 118.4375, 116.84375,
• 6. Levels S: 113.625, 112.0625.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117.53125 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 117.53125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.63281 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.46875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.09375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.47906 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 21 Aug 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 117.3125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 19 Aug 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 117.125 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 18 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 116.25 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 13 Aug 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 118.3125 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart reflects a market under persistent downward pressure across all timeframes. Price action is subdued, with medium-sized bars and slow momentum, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction. The short-term WSFG is neutral, but both the monthly and yearly session fib grids show price below their respective NTZ centers, confirming a prevailing downtrend. Swing pivot analysis highlights a dominant short-term and intermediate-term downtrend, with the most recent pivot low at 116.09375 and resistance levels stacked well above current price. All benchmark moving averages (from 5-day to 200-day) are trending down, reinforcing the bearish structure. Volatility, as measured by ATR, remains moderate, while volume is steady but not elevated. Recent trade signals show mixed short-term attempts at reversal, but the broader context remains bearish. The market is in a corrective or consolidative phase within a larger downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows dominating the structure. Any rallies are encountering resistance quickly, and the overall technical landscape suggests continued caution for bullish setups until a clear reversal pattern emerges.