UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Aug-18 07:17 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.60141,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 22%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 119.6875,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 116.0000,
• 5. Levels R: 119.6875, 120.0, 122.4375, 128.15625,
• 6. Levels S: 117.0625, 113.625, 112.0625.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117.625 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 117.8125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 118.26 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 117.96 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.74 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.60 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 15 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 117.71875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 14 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 117.5625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 13 Aug 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 118.3125 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market under pressure across all timeframes. Price action is currently below most key moving averages, with slow momentum and medium-sized bars indicating a lack of strong conviction from either buyers or sellers. Both the short-term and intermediate-term Fib grid trends are technically up, but price has recently reversed from a swing high and is now trending down according to swing pivot analysis. The most recent pivots and trade signals confirm a shift to the downside, with resistance levels overhead and support levels below suggesting a potential test of lower prices. All benchmark moving averages are in a downtrend, reinforcing the bearish outlook. Volatility (ATR) is moderate, and volume remains steady. The overall technical structure points to a market in a corrective or retracement phase within a broader downtrend, with recent failed rallies and lower highs indicating persistent selling pressure. The market may be consolidating before a potential continuation lower, especially as the long-term trend remains negative.